Whose Bill?
Food security bill is a good
attempt by the government to ensure food and nutritional security to all. The
bill is designed to extend subsidized food to pregnant women and children under
the age of 16. The bill will ensure the security to almost 67% of population at
the subsidized rate of Rs. 1-3. The eligible population will get 5 kg in total
of rice, wheat, pearl millet and sorghum per month. Rice @ Rs. 3/kg, Wheat @ Rs.
2/kg and coarse cereals @ Re 1/kg. Being a nationwide project it will cost from
0.8% to 1.1% of GDP. The government says it will provide 62 million tonnes of
food a year under the bill and the size of the subsidy is estimated around $24
billion. Now the population is increasing geometrically, value of currency is
declining, inflation is increasing so the operating cost will also increase. These all means more expense on subsidy annually. Down the line viability of
this project seems under the banner of question mark.
The bill says that states will
provide the list of the poor but they have no such records. The government has
constituted various committees to look at measures of poverty but they come up
with different numbers. Moreover as per planning commission report there are only 29.8% of population poor (based on 2010 population fig.) than from where this 67% came from???
The operation of the bill is yet to be decided. The government is mulling over Public
Distribution System for delivering the subsidies to the poor. The PDS has not
been that efficient and almost 50-51% of grains to be distributed are lost as
leakage. Although all PDS do not adhere to the data.
The other option for Govt. is using
direct cash transfers, what they have been doing in case of LPG. This is the
case when they will give cash payments to be used for food directly into
people’s bank accounts. Now it is not possible to believe that the poor will
honestly invest those sums on food. Also the price what Govt. will
decide may be different than what the actual market price would be.
How the bill results will unfold is another mystery yet to experience. The very low prices of the subsidized
food will distort the market and farmers who can’t sell to the
government-assured program will lose out on the open market because prices will
be forced down.
No
doubt that the bill will provide security to the mass. It will have positive
impact on the poor who are not getting the foods. A healthy population can be
capitalize for better growth and chances are there that India may emerge as
biggest economy. But this all can happen only when the Govt can feed the needy
population and that too in a balanced way. The bill is still in doubt as few
points still need to be addressed. To mention few –
According to data, in India, on average, a person spent as
much as 53% of total expenditure on food requirements. With relentless food
inflation this percentage would be far higher now. In comparison with other
countries, Americans, on average, spend 9.3% of their income on food, in Italy
a family on average spends 25.7%, in Japan 19.1%, in France 16.3%, in the
United Kingdom 11.5%. So the bill seems to help the population. But the other
assumption is that it will make a small part of segment non productive.
The first example comes out from the MNREGA scheme, where people gets Rs 100
per day and in most of the cases without doing desired work. This has hampered
the agricultural work base to great extent. They ask for the wages which most
of the time a farmer is unable to pay. So, they are directly and indirectly
increasing the inflation. Now
the Govt. want to go a step further and stop all pretense of getting any work
done and hand out food for free with money they get from people who work 10
hours or more a day and are fleeced with taxes.
So
instead of giving the food for free Govt. should look onto generating the
employment opportunities in a constructive way. Even the mass they are covering is not justifiable till date. The bill could be boon to the
poorest of poor, but a bane to the one who is just poor because he is not
intended to put the effort to earn their bread. So, at large this bill seems being charged from the productive section and doing little or almost nil for non-productive part. So, is it a good bill to promote or need some rectification? After all whose bill is this? 
Very true & rational analysis .......superb writing ....keep it up
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